Monterrey vs Austin FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
QRO
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
NEC
0 - 1
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 4
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 1
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Austin FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PUM
2 - 3
AUS
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 2
CHA
45%
24%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
DAL
3 - 1
AUS
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
AUS
0 - 1
SES
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 1
NYC
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |