Monterrey vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 1
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
SNL
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
TIG
0 - 0
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MON
2 - 2
ATS
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
JAG
1 - 0
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
AME
1 - 2
EST
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
AME
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
AME
3 - 3
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
PUE
2 - 3
AME
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
AME
0 - 0
PUM
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |