Monterrey vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
MON
1 - 1
VER
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
MON
2 - 2
IRA
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
EST
2 - 1
MON
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
MOR
0 - 0
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
AME
0 - 1
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
VER
3 - 2
AME
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
PUM
4 - 3
AME
45%
26%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
AME
1 - 1
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
AME
0 - 1
TIG
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |