Monterrey vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
MOR
2 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
MON
2 - 2
ATL
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
5 - 0
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
MON
3 - 3
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
CHI
3 - 1
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
MOR
1 - 3
AME
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
AME
3 - 1
TOL
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
NEC
0 - 1
AME
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
AME
1 - 2
LEO
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2001 |
AME
1 - 2
CAZ
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |