Liga MX Sub 20 - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Monterrey U20 vs Toluca U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
ATL
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
NEC
1 - 4
MON
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
MON
3 - 2
VER
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
MEX
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BUA
0 - 3
MEX
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MEX
1 - 1
PUM
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
AME
1 - 1
MEX
63%
22%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MEX
2 - 1
QUE
45%
28%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
MEX
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |