Montenegro U21 vs England U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
57%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montenegro U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
MNE
1 - 2
SVN
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
BGR
1 - 2
MNE
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
ENG
1 - 1
ROU
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2007 |
NED
1 - 1
ENG
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
ENG
2 - 0
SRB
70%
18%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
ENG
2 - 2
ITA
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2007 |
CZE
0 - 0
ENG
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |