Montenegro U21 vs Wales U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montenegro U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
MNE
3 - 1
BIH
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
ARM
4 - 1
MNE
39%
25%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
AND
0 - 5
MNE
28%
24%
48%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
MNE
0 - 1
MKD
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
MLT
1 - 1
MNE
20%
23%
58%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 2
HUN
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
AND
0 - 1
WAL
22%
23%
56%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 0
NIR
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
WAL
1 - 0
AUT
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 0
WAL
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |