Montehermoso vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
66.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
9º
14º
12º
54
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
TRU
17%
24%
60%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TRU
1 - 0
MON
63%
22%
15%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 2
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
PLA
27%
28%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
UDF
26%
25%
50%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
CPC
17%
25%
58%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 2
TAL
10%
21%
69%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
ADL
55%
23%
21%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 0
ARR
59%
24%
18%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
ADL
57%
23%
20%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |