Montego Bay United vs Reno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
CAV
5 - 1
MON
35%
29%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
LIO
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 2
MON
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MPA
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
DFC
0 - 1
MON
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Reno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
REN
1 - 0
WAT
33%
30%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
REN
0 - 2
POR
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
REN
1 - 0
UWI
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 0
REN
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TRI
2 - 1
REN
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |