Montego Bay United vs Reno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
WAT
2 - 0
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
BOY
2 - 1
MON
29%
29%
42%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 0
MON
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
TRI
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
LIO
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Reno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
REN
1 - 0
JAM
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
UWI
1 - 0
REN
69%
21%
11%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
REN
2 - 0
HAR
41%
27%
31%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LIO
2 - 0
REN
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
REN
0 - 1
ARN
35%
26%
40%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |