Montego Bay United vs Mount Pleasant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
60.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
6º
12º
7º
59
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
LIO
3 - 2
MON
61%
25%
15%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
MON
1 - 3
ARN
16%
22%
63%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VER
1 - 1
MON
41%
27%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
CAV
16%
24%
60%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
MON
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 1
MPA
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MPA
2 - 0
HAR
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 3
MPA
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MPA
3 - 0
DFC
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MPA
1 - 0
POR
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |