Montego Bay United vs Mount Pleasant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
10º
10º
46
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CMF
0 - 0
MON
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MON
3 - 3
VER
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 1
MON
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LIO
0 - 0
MON
61%
25%
14%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
MOL
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MPA
1 - 2
MOL
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 0
MPA
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
MPA
2 - 2
CAV
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 2
MPA
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MPA
0 - 0
HAR
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |