Montego Bay United vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
6º
3º
14
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
16% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
83% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 70.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
MOL
0 - 2
MON
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
ARN
1 - 0
MON
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MON
2 - 1
CMF
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 1
MON
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
VER
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LIO
1 - 0
CMF
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
HAR
1 - 1
LIO
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
LIO
0 - 1
VER
52%
25%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
TRI
5 - 1
LIO
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 1
LIO
65%
21%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |