Montego Bay United vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
6º
12º
7º
49
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VER
1 - 1
MON
41%
27%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
CAV
16%
24%
60%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
MON
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 0
MON
10%
19%
71%
|
54 | 8 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
CAV
17%
24%
59%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 3
TRI
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 2
ARN
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
MOL
0 - 4
ARN
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
ARN
0 - 0
DFC
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 0
HAR
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |