Montegiorgio vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 1
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
SAM
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
OLY
0 - 1
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
GIU
42%
23%
36%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 2
CAM
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
PIN
0 - 0
FRA
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SAV
0 - 1
FRA
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 0
ISE
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
JES
0 - 0
FRA
28%
26%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |