Montegiorgio vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
OLY
0 - 1
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
GIU
42%
23%
36%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
CES
10%
21%
69%
|
22 | 64 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MON
1 - 4
PIN
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
CES
8%
20%
72%
|
22 | 64 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 1
CAS
63%
19%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 3
CAM
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 0
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
SAV
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |