Montegiorgio vs Castelnuovo Vomano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
41.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
SSS
19%
23%
58%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +3 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 2
MON
69%
18%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
CHI
63%
22%
15%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
CAS
29%
26%
45%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Castelnuovo Vomano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
POR
37%
23%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
SFF
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
UST
3 - 0
CAS
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 3
NER
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SSS
2 - 0
CAS
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |