Montedio Yamagata vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montedio Yamagata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
MON
1 - 2
GIR
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
TOK
1 - 2
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
MON
0 - 1
JUB
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
KAM
0 - 3
MON
26%
26%
49%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
VVA
0 - 0
MON
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
MIT
2 - 0
THE
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
THE
0 - 1
SHO
13%
22%
64%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
THE
2 - 1
OIT
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
MAT
3 - 1
THE
67%
20%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
THE
1 - 1
ROA
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |