Montedio Yamagata vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montedio Yamagata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
CON
3 - 0
MON
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
MON
2 - 0
TOK
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
MON
2 - 0
THE
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MIT
0 - 1
MON
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
SHO
1 - 1
MON
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
AVI
3 - 2
MIT
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
EHI
3 - 3
AVI
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
TOK
2 - 0
AVI
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
AVI
0 - 1
CER
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
SAG
3 - 1
AVI
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |