Montecchio Maggiore vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecchio Maggiore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
CJA
1 - 1
MON
70%
17%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
CAR
24%
21%
54%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +4 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LEG
2 - 1
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
AST
41%
23%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 2
MON
68%
18%
15%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
VIR
0 - 0
VIL
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
CAM
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AST
2 - 2
VIL
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAR
25%
24%
52%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
SDA
12%
22%
66%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |