AD Lorqui vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Lorqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CDT
0 - 2
LOR
30%
24%
47%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LOR
3 - 0
ABA
42%
23%
35%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UMO
2 - 4
LOR
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LOR
6 - 0
JUM
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CHU
2 - 3
LOR
60%
22%
19%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 3
RAA
28%
23%
48%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
CDT
61%
21%
18%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ABA
4 - 1
VIL
43%
24%
34%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 3
UMO
64%
18%
18%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
JUM
0 - 2
VIL
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |