Montebelluna vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montebelluna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
MON
2 - 3
UAR
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
VIC
6 - 0
MON
82%
14%
5%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
LEV
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAT
0 - 1
MON
15%
19%
66%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
SAN
33%
25%
43%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
ADB
3 - 0
MES
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MES
2 - 1
CAL
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
MES
39%
26%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
MES
2 - 0
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
GSD
1 - 1
MES
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |