Montebelluna vs Cartigliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
49.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montebelluna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
LEG
5 - 2
MON
67%
20%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MON
2 - 2
ROV
34%
25%
41%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ABA
1 - 2
MON
24%
25%
51%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
BEL
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
VIR
17%
22%
61%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |