Monte Roraima vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
73.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+483%
-83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Roraima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
REC
1 - 1
MRF
40%
22%
38%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 6
GAS
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 4
RIO
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
GAS
4 - 0
PRO
38%
21%
41%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 2
ARO
60%
19%
20%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NAU
5 - 3
PRO
22%
19%
59%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |