Cup Paulista Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 2-0
Monte Azul vs Vocem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VOC
0 - 1
MON
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
COM
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
MON
24%
23%
53%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
BSP
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 3
MON
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vocem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VOC
0 - 1
MON
15%
21%
64%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VOC
1 - 0
VOT
14%
24%
62%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 0
VOC
19%
21%
60%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VOC
0 - 1
ECN
24%
26%
50%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 2
VOC
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |