Monte Azul vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
OES
0 - 1
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MON
3 - 3
RIO
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 0
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TAU
2 - 1
MON
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
POR
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
5 - 0
JUV
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
XVD
0 - 0
SAO
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
RIO
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
CAP
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 2
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |