Monte Azul vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
FER
50%
24%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 3
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MON
0 - 3
SAN
27%
22%
51%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
PEN
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
VEL
3 - 2
MON
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
RBB
3 - 1
SAO
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
SEP
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
FER
0 - 0
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |