Monte Azul vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 0
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
TAU
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
PAU
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 1
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 2
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
SAO
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
BRA
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |