Monte Azul vs São Bento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MON
5 - 1
SAO
22%
24%
53%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MON
0 - 2
INT
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 2
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
INT
3 - 0
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 0
INT
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAO
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PAU
0 - 0
SAO
39%
26%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |