Monte Azul vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FER
1 - 2
MON
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 0
MON
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MON
0 - 2
CAP
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
JUV
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
24%
23%
52%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 4
CAP
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |