Monte Azul vs Rio Preto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VEL
3 - 1
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 0
MON
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
AUD
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TAB
3 - 1
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
PRI
0 - 0
MON
35%
28%
38%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
RIO
51%
25%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 0
PRI
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAO
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
DES
6 - 1
RIO
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
AUD
1 - 0
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |