Monte Azul vs Rio Preto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
FER
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 1
MON
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
SER
58%
22%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
RIO
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SER
2 - 3
RIO
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
RIO
71%
18%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 0
FER
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 1
CAT
35%
26%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |