Monte Azul vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 0
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TAU
2 - 1
MON
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
POR
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 1
MON
47%
25%
27%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
FER
16%
23%
61%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
RIO
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 0
PRI
38%
27%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 3
NOR
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
COM
2 - 2
RIO
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 0
OES
22%
23%
56%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |