Monte Azul vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
42.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
MON
0 - 2
AUD
30%
25%
44%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
AUD
2 - 2
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
DES
1 - 2
MON
53%
24%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
MON
0 - 0
DES
33%
27%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CAP
0 - 2
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 0
LIN
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
DES
2 - 0
RIO
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
RIO
47%
27%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
RIO
2 - 1
DES
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |