Monte Azul vs Portuguesa Santista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 1
MON
47%
25%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
FER
16%
23%
61%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LEM
0 - 2
MON
19%
21%
60%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
LIN
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
JUV
36%
27%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
TAU
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
PRI
2 - 0
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
POR
44%
26%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
XVD
0 - 1
POR
65%
22%
13%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |