Monte Azul vs Portuguesa Santista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
MON
1 - 3
PEN
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
MON
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
RBB
2 - 1
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
MON
0 - 0
XVD
27%
25%
47%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
AUD
2 - 2
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
JUV
3 - 2
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
POR
1 - 3
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
POR
3 - 1
RBB
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
XVD
1 - 0
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
POR
0 - 1
TAU
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |