Monte Azul vs Portuguesa Santista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 0
MON
29%
26%
46%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MON
3 - 2
MOG
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
BER
1 - 1
MON
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CAP
3 - 0
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
MON
3 - 0
ATI
44%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
NOR
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 3
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
ATI
2 - 2
POR
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
BER
57%
25%
18%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
POR
48%
25%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |