Monte Azul vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
TAB
4 - 2
MON
31%
26%
44%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
GRE
51%
24%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
IND
3 - 1
MON
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ATI
0 - 1
MON
42%
26%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 0
CAT
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 2
MAT
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SJS
1 - 3
NOR
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 2
NOR
57%
24%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 2
TAB
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |