Monte Azul vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
COM
1 - 2
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 3
MON
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MON
0 - 2
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
4 - 1
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 0
MAT
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 1
AGU
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
MIR
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 3
FER
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
1 - 0
MIR
16%
20%
64%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |