Monte Azul vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 0
MON
49%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 0
MON
29%
26%
46%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MON
3 - 2
MOG
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
BER
1 - 1
MON
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
RIO
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
CAP
3 - 2
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
ATI
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 0
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |