Monte Azul vs Lemense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
POR
4 - 0
MON
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
SAO
46%
25%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
OES
2 - 0
MON
53%
24%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
RBB
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 0
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
LEM
2 - 0
TAU
9%
16%
76%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 0
LEM
76%
16%
8%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
LEM
0 - 3
DES
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -4 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
OSA
1 - 0
LEM
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
LEM
0 - 3
AMP
69%
18%
14%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -2 |