Monte Azul vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
IND
3 - 1
MON
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ATI
0 - 1
MON
42%
26%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
MON
2 - 2
RIO
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
POR
59%
24%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 1
MON
29%
25%
45%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 2
NOR
57%
24%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
INT
2 - 1
GRE
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 0
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TAB
2 - 1
GRE
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
4 - 0
FLA
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |