Monte Azul vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
MON
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
MON
31%
27%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
MON
3 - 3
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 2
MON
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
MON
0 - 1
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 3
RBB
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
GRÊ
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 2
GRE
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FER
2 - 1
GRE
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
5 - 0
UNI
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |