Monte Azul vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 3
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MON
0 - 3
SAN
27%
22%
51%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
PEN
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
VEL
3 - 2
MON
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 1
MON
54%
23%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
FER
2 - 1
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 0
FER
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
FER
0 - 0
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SER
0 - 5
FER
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |