Monte Azul vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
MON
24%
23%
53%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
BSP
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 3
MON
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
COM
2 - 1
MON
26%
24%
49%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
BSP
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FRA
0 - 1
COM
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
COM
3 - 3
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
COM
2 - 1
MON
26%
24%
49%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
BSP
4 - 1
COM
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |