Monte Azul vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
POR
4 - 2
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 3
PRI
38%
28%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 2
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
VEL
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
COM
0 - 2
NOR
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 2
COM
43%
28%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
COM
0 - 1
TAU
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
LEM
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
OES
0 - 0
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |