Monte Azul vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
AME
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
MON
54%
23%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
RIO
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 2
RIO
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAT
60%
21%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
CAT
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 0
RIO
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SER
1 - 1
CAT
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |