Monte Azul vs Barretos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
MAN
69%
20%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 0
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MON
0 - 3
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
BAR
38%
28%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DES
2 - 3
BAR
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
DES
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |