Monte Azul vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+145%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 1
MON
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
AUD
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MON
4 - 2
ATL
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AME
4 - 1
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 2
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 2
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 4
SAO
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
FER
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |