Monte Azul vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
MON
54%
23%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
RIO
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
FER
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
RIO
49%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
FER
3 - 1
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
AME
3 - 2
MAR
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
COM
3 - 2
AME
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
CAT
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |